My Midyear’25 Forecast Compared to AIA Consensus « Construction Analytics

[ad_1] This is a simple list compiled of the percent growth forecast by each firm at Mid year 2025, then ...
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This is a simple list compiled of the percent growth forecast by each firm at Mid year 2025, then compared to the final outcome at year end. The column titled Forecast’25 is the year-to-date spending through Dec. reported by Census 2-28-26, or in essence, the final spending for 2025, the number all forecasters are trying to predict. There will still be minor revisions to this number. To get an idea of how each firm’s forecast compares, I scored 3 points for closest forecast to actual, 2 points for 2nd closest and minus 1 point for worst forecast. Only Nonresidential Bldgs is counted here. We always see the forecasts published. We seldom, if ever, see the final outcome published. You can search this website (search for the word Compared) for the outcome results for the last 6 years. Construction Analytics, by far, has proven to post the best forecasts. Not always, but more often than any others.



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